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2006年3月17日 (金)

"超大作時代の終焉"記事についてのレス

昨日の超大作時代の終焉についての記事に対してたくさんのコメントをもらった。データを追加すると共にいくつかのレスにコメントしよう;

まずこのデータのソースはBox Office Mojoだ。スプレッドシートはここにある。いつもと同様に、より良い分析をして投稿してくれればリンクする。

次に超大作に関するボックスオフィスのデータについての詳細が見たいという人たちがいたね。下に年ごとの傾向を見やすくするための直線回帰を含むデータを示している;
blockbustertrend_1
次に、アメリカだけの興行収入は、現在のほとんどの映画ビジネスの一部でしかないという指摘を頂いたが、その通りだと思う。しかしながら、アメリカの興行収入が海外での公開やDVDなどの他のビジネスへ大きく影響することからプロキシとしては使える。別の言い方をすると、超大作の映画館の収入がそのビジネス全体の売り上げの比率と連動する安全な指標だということだ。

最後に、現在はかつて無いほど音楽が溢れているという僕の確信にNat Dykemanは反論する;

レコード会社の売り上げは8%減少し、自分たちのCDはダウンロードされないと嘆いていた時期に、最大20%のCD枚数を静かに削減していた。
個人的感想だが、20%も減らしているのに売り上げが8%しか減少していないということは良くやっているのではないかということだ。

また僕が心配しているレコード会社のレンズを通した見方だ。MySpaceにはレコード会社でリリースすらされていない何千曲ものトラックが置いてある。CDBabyにはレコード会社とサインしていない何千ものバンドのCDが置いてある。Natはレコード会社とサインしたバンドだけなのか、全体のことを言っているのか、どっちなんだろう。もし前者なら意味が無い議論だ。

繰り返すが、ほとんどのバンドはレコード会社とサインしていない。音楽をディストリビュートする他の方法がある現代では、レコード会社と契約することがリスナーを見いだす唯一の方法ではない。だからこそかつてなく音楽に溢れているにも関わらず、レコード会社という狭い定義における"音楽業界"は縮小しているんだ。

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投稿 afwef | 2007年5月22日 (火) 11時47分

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